Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 53% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 40% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 40% on 28 Apr 2026. $200 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 10:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 53.0% |
| 2 May 2026 | 50.0% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gerald Meerschaert and Jacob Malkoun at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ger1-jac7-2026-05-02
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