Analytics
Resolved Uros Medic on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Uros Medic at 34.5%. The Geoff Neal side opened at 50% on 13 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the low 50% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 61.5% on 14 Feb 2026. $694.28K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Geoff Neal price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 13 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–70%
| Observed | Geoff Neal price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Geoff Neal | 120K |
| SammySledge | Geoff Neal | 83.98K |
| CleverTuna1613 | Geoff Neal | 6.13K |
| SocialStag3653 | Geoff Neal | 5.76K |
| mczippo | Geoff Neal | 2.7K |
| Staid-Label | Geoff Neal | 2.29K |
| RipNDip | Geoff Neal | 2.16K |
| Avarice31 | Geoff Neal | 1.18K |
| erokha | Geoff Neal | 1K |
| urgencista | Geoff Neal | 781.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Geoff Neal" if Geoff Neal is officially declared the winner of the fight against Uros Medic at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Uros Medic" if Uros Medic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-geo-uro-2026-02-21
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