Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 20 Jun 2026, the highest close was 52% on 7 Jun 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 20 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 41.5% on 20 Jun 2026. $1.62K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 31 May 2026 – 20 Jun 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Jun 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| deleteth1splz | Yes | 38.52 |
| fostergum | Yes | 8.2 |
| intdtghy5 | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gaston Bolaños and Michael Aswell at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gas-mic34-2026-06-20
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