Analytics
Resolved Over 2.5 on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over 2.5 at 76%. The Over 2.5 side opened at 52.5% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 76% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 76% on 15 Jun 2026. $725.46 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over 2.5 price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Over 2.5 price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 52.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 76.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plm.blm | Under 2.5 | 25.27 |
| supermeow | Under 2.5 | 19.99 |
| Flippant-Founder-Mixer | Under 2.5 | 7.81 |
| Indigo Raven 400F | Under 2.5 | 2.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Over 2.5" if there are more than 2.5 total knockouts during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 2.5". A knockout will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns or takedowns, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final knockout total. Only matches that result in a winner by knockout or technical knockout will be counted in the final count. If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed. If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-freedom-250-knockouts-ou-2pt5-20260610012823663
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