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Resolved Marshall on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Marshall at 100%. The Marshall side opened at 51% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 1 Mar 2026 and the low 51% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 81.5% on 19 Feb 2026. $148.42K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Marshall price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Marshall price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kiinndz | Silva | 1K |
| staysharp | Silva | 407.14 |
| knedloveprovelo | Silva | 394.36 |
| congos | Silva | 226.2 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erik Silva at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Silva" if Erik Silva is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-fra8-eri7-2026-02-28
| MEV-PM | Silva | 207 |
| Maubdib | Silva | 199.97 |
| neutralwave23 | Silva | 125 |
| P42K | Silva | 119.5 |
| Brave-Stand | Silva | 95.01 |
| Za-Za | Silva | 88.09 |
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