Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 38%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 62.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the low 50% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 62.5% on 12 Jul 2025. $4.97K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 1 Jul 2025 – 13 Jul 2025, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 50.0% |
| 13 Jul 2025 | 62.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 564 |
| Cyborgg | Yes | 508.19 |
| RmcMurphy | Yes | 386 |
| MrGoy | Yes | 112.22 |
| AlbertinoGabriel | Yes | 38.13 |
| aj12 | Yes | 37.47 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 31 |
| yeezuschrist0 | Yes | 15.38 |
| ishowmeat420 | Yes | 8.93 |
| Tito972 | Yes | 8.47 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if during UFC Fight Night on July 12, 2025, both of the following occurs: -In the Men's Heavyweight - Main Event bout between Tallison Teixeira and Derrick Lewis, Tallison Teixeira wins the fight. -In the Men’s Welterweight bout between Gabriel Bonfim and Stephen Thompson, Gabriel Bonfim wins the fight. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If either fight is canceled or postponed beyond July 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-fight-night-parlay-teixeira-bonfim
New to prediction markets?
