Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 51% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 68.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $716.29 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Super-Read | No | 85.71 |
| rtsgg53 | No | 65.79 |
| Nrxw | No | 33.35 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Farid Basharat and Jean Matsumoto at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-far1-jea1-2026-02-07
| Danthaman | No | 14.29 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 5.63 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | No | 5 |
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