Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 0.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $271.75 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 12:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rough-Abrogation | Yes | 102.54 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Eric McConico and Rodolfo Vieira at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-eri15-rod1-2026-04-25
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