Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 53% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 16 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 17% on 14 Nov 2025. $8.5K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 947 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 718 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 232 |
| kantona | Yes | 121.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight between Eric McConico and Baisangur Susurkaev at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve “No.” If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-eri15-bai1-2025-11-15
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 116 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 108 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 103 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 50 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 48 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 13 |
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