Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 22 Jul 2026 and the low 34% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 34.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $789.32 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 22 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| borism8 | Yes | 222.71 |
| jger | Yes | 80 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 51.08 |
| Popppers123 | Yes | 18.24 |
| Luxurious-Investment | Yes | 10.81 |
| dstn777 | Yes | 8.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dustin Jacoby defeats Muhammad Said at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dus3-msaid-2026-07-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
