Analytics
Resolved Duncan on 9 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Duncan at 59.5%. Yes opened at 46% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 1 Nov 2025 and the low 36% on 4 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 38.5% on 3 Nov 2025. $107.13K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 1 Nov 2025 – 9 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 46.0% |
| 9 Nov 2025 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon333 | Tulio | 7.88K |
| SeriouslySirius | Tulio | 6.83K |
| leo0770 | Tulio | 4.04K |
| squarestylepizza | Tulio | 3.33K |
| dogvestor | Tulio | 3.31K |
| jonasbibi | Tulio | 500 |
| rendouz | Tulio | 432.73 |
| vanya79 | Tulio | 355 |
| tsarr | Tulio | 318.53 |
| TaxiVader | Tulio | 250 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a polymarket on whether Duncan or Tulio will win their bout at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown, scheduled for November 8. This market will resolve to "Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is declared the winner. This market will resolve to "Tulio" if Marco Tulio is declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the bout is not scored, postponed after November 15, 2025, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be ESPN. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-fight-night-bonfim-vs-brown
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