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Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the low 38% on 5 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 38% on 5 Mar 2026.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Duško Todorovic and Donte Johnson at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-du-don13-2026-03-07
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