Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 6 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 50% on 8 Mar 2026.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 5:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donte Johnson defeats Duško Todorovic at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-du-don13-2026-03-07
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