Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 15.5% on 17 Jul 2026. $303.45 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 7:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 8.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dione Barbosa defeats Anna Melisano at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dio-amelis-2026-07-18
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