Analytics
Resolved Diego Ferreira on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Diego Ferreira at 39.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Jul 2026. $507.67K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 2:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Billy Quarantillo | 62.98K |
| kldjsh | Billy Quarantillo | 29.04K |
| user921123 | Billy Quarantillo | 12K |
| olegio | Billy Quarantillo |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Diego Ferreira" if Diego Ferreira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Billy Quarantillo at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Billy Quarantillo" if Billy Quarantillo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-die-bil1-2026-08-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 6.64K |
| 0x0A77exmm | Billy Quarantillo | 5.26K |
| IGBGMN | Billy Quarantillo | 5K |
| dovetail | Billy Quarantillo | 3.58K |
| evanng | Billy Quarantillo | 2.88K |
| Automatic-Estate | Billy Quarantillo | 2.63K |
| billy578 | Billy Quarantillo | 2.58K |
