Analytics
Resolved Dern on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Dern at 43%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 59% on 21 Oct 2025 and the lowest 50% on 19 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 57.5% on 20 Oct 2025. $1.79M traded over the market's life.
159 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FacaR | Jandiroba | 993.09K |
| Jolanda | Jandiroba | 77.59K |
| Katello | Jandiroba | 43.71K |
| 4-seas | Jandiroba | 35.78K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on whether Dern or Jandiroba will win their bout at UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane, scheduled for October 25. This market will resolve to "Dern" if Mackenzie Dern is declared the winner. This market will resolve to "Jandiroba" if Virna Jandiroba is declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the bout is not scored, postponed after November 1, 2025, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be ESPN. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-321-aspinall-vs-gane
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| anon333 | Jandiroba | 14.12K |
| SebastianA96 | Jandiroba | 11.95K |
| Anointed-Connect | Jandiroba | 10.37K |
| HeidiTovar123 | Jandiroba | 8.12K |
| zatlas | Jandiroba | 5.5K |
| LeClairvoyant | Jandiroba | 4.82K |
