Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 9 Apr 2026. $264.4 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 11:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 62.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fitting-Volatility | No | 100 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 11.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Dennis Buzukja and Marcio Barbosa at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-den2-mar91-2026-04-18
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