Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $267.04 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Young-Illness | Yes | 74.6 |
| Whimsical-Thing | Yes | 10.87 |
| binaryskipper123 | Yes | 5.95 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Dennis Buzukja and Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-den2-bog-2026-08-01
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