Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 44.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $15.22K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 2:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| claudesports | Yes | 2.92K |
| siick | Yes | 2.74K |
| PontiusPilate | Yes | 710.4 |
| frenkifc23 | Yes | 495 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Deiveson Figueiredo and Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dei-pay-2026-10-03
| overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Yes | 399.69 |
| i.i.ilo | Yes | 242 |
| Realisticend | Yes | 222.7 |
| DosMayos | Yes | 169.31 |
| AsZen | Yes | 117.66 |
| OctoMoose | Yes | 117.07 |
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