Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 29% on 9 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35% on 5 Aug 2026. $3.93K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 1:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 2.13K |
| Vivacious-Blackfish | Yes | 747.06 |
| Neon Kestrel 2504 | Yes | 322.57 |
| StoleThat | Yes | 240.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Darren Elkins and Yadier del Valle at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dar3-yad-2026-08-08
| 4751346 | Yes | 100 |
| Ivory Sphinx 3C0E | Yes | 54.9 |
| Unsteady-Skullcap | Yes | 43.33 |
| IdesOfMarch68 | Yes | 40 |
| jemsan | Yes | 8.33 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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