Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 33.5% on 5 Aug 2026. $6.65K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 1:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tomb2456 | Yes | 6K |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 73.5 |
| apath | Yes | 36.86 |
| AntiVaxxer | Yes | 11.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Darren Elkins and Yadier del Valle at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dar3-yad-2026-08-08
| SteveMcGee | Yes | 8 |
| Cosmic Falcon 3C36 | Yes | 7.58 |
| Admired-Definition | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
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