Analytics
Resolved Melissa Croden on 19 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Melissa Croden at 54.5%. The Daria Zhelezniakova side opened at 42% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 45.5% on 18 Apr 2026 and the low 19% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 19% on 30 Mar 2026. $416.56K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 20, 2:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daria Zhelezniakova price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Daria Zhelezniakova price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 42.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frankfrankfrank | Daria Zhelezniakova | 50K |
| epend | Daria Zhelezniakova | 26.11K |
| Jon-Anik-Fan | Daria Zhelezniakova | 13.93K |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Daria Zhelezniakova |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Daria Zhelezniakova" if Daria Zhelezniakova is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Croden" if Melissa Croden is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dar16-mel8-2026-04-18
| 10.89K |
| Bacon59788 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 5.19K |
| ic4cream | Daria Zhelezniakova | 3.54K |
| sivas | Daria Zhelezniakova | 1.61K |
| Automatic-Estate | Daria Zhelezniakova | 1.56K |
| Medical-Reflection | Daria Zhelezniakova | 424.13 |
| Ivory Atlas B8F8 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 388.92 |
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