Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 20 Jul 2026 and the low 12.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 14.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $398.48 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| van1ty | Yes | 95.24 |
| Realnba | Yes | 39.55 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| True-Seizure | Yes | 5.88 |
| roscoff | Yes | 5.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Daniel Rodriguez and Uroš Medic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan7-uro-2026-08-01
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