Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 51% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36% on 17 Jan 2026. $12.42K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amazing-Hovel | Yes | 3.68K |
| siick | Yes | 1.51K |
| slydog99 | Yes | 399.99 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Dan Hooker and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan6-ben8-2026-01-31
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 192 |
| Keen Pioneer 0E9D | Yes | 172.39 |
| Ebimans | Yes | 160.39 |
| Useless-Stain | Yes | 134.28 |
| vasileiosder | Yes | 111.15 |
| 17th-floor | Yes | 110 |
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