Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 11% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 20 Nov 2025 and the lowest 8% on 22 Nov 2025. $4K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 11.0% |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 720 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 239 |
| Danva1 | Yes | 200 |
| squirtdirty | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Hooker defeats Arman Tsarukyan at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan6-arm-2025-11-22
| OuchMyBalls | Yes | 100 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 71 |
| Darres199 | Yes | 64.07 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 57 |
| phoenixrising | Yes | 45 |
| Those-Gradient | Yes | 25 |
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