Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 16.5% on 21 Mar 2026.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 10:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 47.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Unruly-Buffalo | Yes | 17.86 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| 097235097 | Yes | 7.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kurtis Campbell defeats Danny Silva at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan54-kur2-2026-03-21
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