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Paper trading
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 1 Feb 2026 and the low 12.5% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 14% on 2 Feb 2026. $2.24K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Oracle 606B | Yes | 400 |
| Scratchy-Whey | Yes | 310 |
| CJNG | Yes | 119.05 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 29.99 |
| DNDRLT21 | Yes | 16.67 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 5.63 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| wdsad1 | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Ige" if Dan Ige is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan2-mel4-2026-02-21
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