Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 11%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 11% on 22 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 16% on 2 Feb 2026. $1.11K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 5:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 15 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 5.63 |
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Ige" if Dan Ige is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan2-mel4-2026-02-21
| wdsad1 | No | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | No | 5 |
| M81Lx | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | No | 5 |
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