Analytics
Resolved Costa on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Costa at 68.5%. The Ige side opened at 51% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 51% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 26% on 2 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 26% on 2 Feb 2026. $631.76K traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Ige price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Ige price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Ige | 57.66K |
| Sharpyyy | Ige | 40K |
| JohnnyWins | Ige | 5.43K |
| Saivestor | Ige | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Ige" if Dan Ige is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan2-mel4-2026-02-21
| Arbga2026 | Ige | 4.16K |
| Tbonepro | Ige | 3K |
| Mundane-Finger | Ige | 2K |
| dsgdfhet34 | Ige | 1.5K |
| Gfkfynbh | Ige | 1.17K |
| Glittering-Tavern | Ige | 1.13K |
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