Analytics
Resolved Cub Swanson on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cub Swanson at 47%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $661.26K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 4:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 12 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| noMoohyun523 | Nate Landwehr | 85.55K |
| 6yuyurrg | Nate Landwehr | 11.84K |
| CemeterySun | Nate Landwehr | 5.49K |
| isp | Nate Landwehr | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Cub Swanson" if Cub Swanson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nate Landwehr at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cub-nat2-2026-04-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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