Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the low 43% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 43% on 30 Sep 2026. $49.99 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 20 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Court McGee and Eric Nolan at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cou-eri16-2026-10-03
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