Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 43% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 43% on 30 Sep 2026. $96.36 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 8:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Court McGee and Eric Nolan at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cou-eri16-2026-10-03
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