Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 15% on 3 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 15.5% on 2 Mar 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TBEAR7 | Yes | 12.5 |
| Quiet Signal 09EF | Yes | 5.43 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| ZSM4736326 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Cody Durden" if Cody Durden is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nyamjargal Tumendemberel at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Nyamjargal Tumendemberel" if Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cod2-nya-2026-03-07
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | Yes | 2.5 |
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