Analytics
Resolved Cody Garbrandt on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cody Garbrandt at 60.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 80% on 19 Feb 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 66.5% on 17 Feb 2026.
166 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 5:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| statwC00KS | Xiao Long | 116.28K |
| isp | Xiao Long | 79.99K |
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | Xiao Long | 21.49K |
| Harmful-Wood | Xiao Long | 21.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Cody Garbrandt" if Cody Garbrandt is officially declared the winner of the fight against Xiao Long at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Xiao Long" if Xiao Long is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cod1-xia-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 6yuyurrg | Xiao Long | 20.26K |
| dj8d | Xiao Long | 13.5K |
| heisenb3rg96 | Xiao Long | 11.78K |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Xiao Long | 11.46K |
| leo0770 | Xiao Long | 11K |
| Joelczer24 | Xiao Long | 5.25K |
