Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 12 Jul 2026 and the low 39.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 100% on 12 Jul 2026. $6.55K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 12:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bettordude | No | 528.8 |
| Forecastication2 | No | 403 |
| donkabadonka | No | 119.66 |
| khamzat99 | No | 70.46 |
| kottenok | No | 10.2 |
| The-Grand-Wizrd | No | 8.51 |
| ufcrich | No | 4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Cody Garbrandt" if Cody Garbrandt is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adrian Yanez at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Adrian Yanez" if Adrian Yanez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cod1-adr-2026-07-11
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