Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 100% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 100% on 12 Jul 2026. $7.83K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 11:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| siick | No | 2K |
| donkabadonka | No | 83.33 |
| sampo-one | No | 66.66 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 2.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Cody Garbrandt" if Cody Garbrandt is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adrian Yanez at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Adrian Yanez" if Adrian Yanez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cod1-adr-2026-07-11
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