Analytics
Resolved Jose Ochoa on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Jose Ochoa at 62.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 9 May 2026, the highest close was 39% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 24% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 38% on 2 May 2026. $395.84K traded over the market's life.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 9 May 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 30.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LaBradfordSmith22 | Clayton Carpenter | 122.26K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Clayton Carpenter | 15.75K |
| sunflowaa | Clayton Carpenter | 13.98K |
| Painfulvoid | Clayton Carpenter |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Clayton Carpenter" if Clayton Carpenter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cla5-jos54-2026-05-09
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 8.39K |
| hi774c | Clayton Carpenter | 8.27K |
| Crimson Atlas 21BA | Clayton Carpenter | 8K |
| cumulus33 | Clayton Carpenter | 6.87K |
| JohnnyWins | Clayton Carpenter | 5.45K |
| FightingStats | Clayton Carpenter | 2.31K |
| IGBGMN | Clayton Carpenter | 1.62K |
