Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Apr 2026. $143.97 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 12:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 12 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-chr52-mar83-2026-04-11
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