Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 11 Nov 2025 and the low 18% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 12 Nov 2025. $2.46K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 960 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 704 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 228 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 132 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 124 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 110 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 71 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight between Chepe Mariscal and Pat Sabatini at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve “No.” If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-che7-pat2-2025-11-15
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