Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 51% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 8 Mar 2026 and the low 0.2% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 0.2% on 29 Mar 2026. $2.82K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 11:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Innocent-Tamale | Yes | 925.93 |
| Amber Scout DEDA | Yes | 142.59 |
| elchacoXXI | Yes | 70.56 |
| superbob123 | Yes | 64.81 |
| yeck | Yes | 20.37 |
| Black-Cure | Yes | 11.36 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| KingRhyze | Yes | 10.19 |
| Ivory Meteor 8113 | Yes | 7.84 |
| SquidwardTentacles | No | 0.1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chase Hooper and Lance Gibson Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cha9-lan6-2026-03-28
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