Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Feb 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 29.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 7:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immaculate-Digger | No | 702.27 |
| Thatvanisleg | No | 640.58 |
| wassup-tipatnais | No | 510 |
| DulceDanza | No | 480.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Charles Oliveira and Max Holloway at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cha1-max1-2026-03-07
| Lenny4 | No | 208.33 |
| Naruto-999 | No | 100 |
| seanfee | No | 78.55 |
| Depdodep | No | 68.12 |
| Soulful-Pet | No | 66.67 |
| Lavincey | No | 53 |
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