Analytics
Resolved Charles Oliveira on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Charles Oliveira at 64.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Feb 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 34.5% on 17 Feb 2026.
541 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 7:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| statwC00KS | Max Holloway | 329.59K |
| 432614799197 | Max Holloway | 157.49K |
| salahmh | Max Holloway | 54.87K |
| knoxgold | Max Holloway | 42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Charles Oliveira" if Charles Oliveira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Max Holloway at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cha1-max1-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Jen888 | Max Holloway | 30K |
| Staid-Label | Max Holloway | 27.8K |
| Bite-Sized-Strawberry | Max Holloway | 26.52K |
| 0x0limit | Max Holloway | 20.12K |
| Anointed-Connect | Max Holloway | 19K |
| Anjun | Max Holloway | 18.89K |
