Analytics
Resolved Casey O'Neill on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Casey O'Neill at 100%. The Casey O'Neill side opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 47% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 100% on 29 Mar 2026. $330.42K traded over the market's life.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 1:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Casey O'Neill price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 8 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Casey O'Neill price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 6yuyurrg | Gabriella Fernandes | 28.9K |
| 4qfrankie | Gabriella Fernandes | 17K |
| Painfulvoid | Gabriella Fernandes | 4.89K |
| squarestylepizza | Gabriella Fernandes |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Casey O'Neill" if Casey O'Neill is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Gabriella Fernandes" if Gabriella Fernandes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cas1-gab5-2026-03-28
| 4.17K |
| Anointed-Connect | Gabriella Fernandes | 3.97K |
| Tbonepro | Gabriella Fernandes | 2K |
| NewTeamSosed | Gabriella Fernandes | 2K |
| slimjoe | Gabriella Fernandes | 1.56K |
| Quiet Maven 1435 | Gabriella Fernandes | 1.09K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Gabriella Fernandes | 616 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
