Analytics
Resolved Casey O'Neill on 19 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Casey O'Neill at 67.5%. The Casey O'Neill side opened at 60% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 17 Sep 2026 and the low 60% on 6 Sep 2026. $139.71K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 20, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Casey O'Neill price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Sep 2026 – 19 Sep 2026, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Casey O'Neill price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 60.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| randypunt | Eduarda Moura | 7K |
| NXYD | Eduarda Moura | 5K |
| 4751346 | Eduarda Moura | 2.67K |
| hi774c | Eduarda Moura | 2.51K |
| billy578 | Eduarda Moura | 1.76K |
| Kidfp | Eduarda Moura | 1.43K |
| roscoff | Eduarda Moura | 1.34K |
| ScientificOctopus | Eduarda Moura | 1.31K |
| Aaarwid | Eduarda Moura | 1.2K |
| Pithuca | Eduarda Moura | 1.02K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Casey O'Neill" if Casey O'Neill is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eduarda Moura at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Eduarda Moura" if Eduarda Moura is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cas1-edu3-2026-09-19
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
