Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74%. Yes opened at 51% on 13 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 13 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 51.5% on 23 Apr 2026. $314.71 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 2:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 13 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | 51.0% |
| 2 May 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KayaTibet | Yes | 62.99 |
| leonchikk | Yes | 53.42 |
| redstar1987 | Yes | 26.08 |
| Zoul335 | Yes | 20.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-car19-jac9-2026-05-02
| BlowingInTheWind | Yes | 5.56 |
| tugggjsz | Yes | 4.99 |
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