Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 63% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 44% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 55.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $701.06 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 3:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 51.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 39yhsd | No | 2.08 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 0.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-car19-jac9-2026-05-02
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