Analytics
Resolved Carlos Prates on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Carlos Prates at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 48% on 22 Apr 2026. $1.48M traded over the market's life.
366 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 7:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 May 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 05143 | Jack Della Maddalena | 91.39K |
| timezonewarrior | Jack Della Maddalena | 78.06K |
| Roulette1 | Jack Della Maddalena | 12.75K |
| exploitmaxxer | Jack Della Maddalena |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Carlos Prates" if Carlos Prates is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Jack Della Maddalena" if Jack Della Maddalena is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-car19-jac9-2026-05-02
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