Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 33%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2026 to 7 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 22.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $380.33 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 1:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Jun 2026 – 7 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 33.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| the-generate | No | 40 |
| P0lar- | No | 16.74 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| BOOKMAKER67 | No | 2.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Bryce Mitchell and Santiago Luna at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bry1-san6-2026-06-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
