Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2026 to 7 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 33% on 7 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 33% on 7 Jun 2026. $439.1 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Jun 2026 – 7 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 33.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TradeCat | Yes | 20 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Bryce Mitchell and Santiago Luna at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bry1-san6-2026-06-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
