Analytics
Resolved Alexia Thainara on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alexia Thainara at 86.5%. The Bruna Brasil side opened at 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13.5% on 25 Mar 2026. $184.35K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 12:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bruna Brasil price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Bruna Brasil price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CemeterySun | Bruna Brasil | 4.41K |
| NewTeamSosed | Bruna Brasil | 2K |
| siick | Bruna Brasil | 1.01K |
| neutralwave23 | Bruna Brasil | 972.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Bruna Brasil" if Bruna Brasil is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexia Thainara at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexia Thainara" if Alexia Thainara is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bru15-ale57-2026-03-28
| Humiliating-Cornet | Bruna Brasil | 810 |
| MEV-PM | Bruna Brasil | 724 |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Bruna Brasil | 511.45 |
| jmm20 | Bruna Brasil | 320 |
| LiquidatedDegen | Bruna Brasil | 311.11 |
| hi774c | Bruna Brasil | 298.77 |
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